FNUS75 KMSO 122003
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARTENS DEVIL 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
203 PM MDT THU MAY 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CURRENTLY THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE
OREGON COAST WILL CAUSE THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY
UNDER THIS FLOW PATTERN WILL CAUSE UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS TO MOVE OFF
TO THE EAST. BY THE AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE
ENOUGH FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY A THUNDERSTORMS
THE CURRENT TREND IS FOR TEMPERATURES TO BECOME WARMER ON SATURDAY
AND POTENTIALLY THE WARMEST DAY FOR YOUR FIRE THIS WEEK. THESE WARM
TEMPERATURES AND THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE BEING SHIFTED TO THE EAST
SHOULD ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE 20S BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE EASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SO GUSTY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY ON THE RIDGES.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...TONY CONTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110514.MARTE.01/MSO