FNUS75 KBOU 151425 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SNYDER CREEK...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 825 AM MDT SUN MAY 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER COLORADO TODAY WITH MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ALSO CONTINUES OVER EASTERN COLORADO CAUSING DEEP UPSLOPE WINDS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE. THE AIRMASS IS MOIST AT LOW LEVELS WITH LOW CLOUDS LOW CLOUDS IN PLACE ACROSS PARK COUNTY. CLOUD TOPS AT ABOUT 12000 FEET MSL WITH DRY AIR ABOVE THAT. MID-LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING OVER COLORADO'S WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE MOVING EASTWARD ON MONDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL COLORADO. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-52. MIN HUMIDITY........38-46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-32. MAX HUMIDITY........84-92%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000-1400 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58. MIN HUMIDITY........26-34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SNDER CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/15-08 80 10 2 35 71 SW 6 6 2 1 W37 2567 W13 30656 P 05/15-09 80 10 2 39 57 SW 6 6 2 1 W35 3338 W15 42662 F 05/15-10 80 10 2 44 46 SW 5 5 2 1 W33 4821 W16 70101 G 05/15-11 80 10 2 47 39 SW 5 5 2 1 W32 6304 W17 97540 G 05/15-12 71 38 16 50 35 SW 3 3 2 2 W31 7786 W18 124979 V 05/15-13 71 38 16 51 34 SW 3 3 2 2 W32 8205 W17 118852 V 05/15-14 71 38 16 52 35 SE 3 3 2 2 W32 8624 W15 112725 V 05/15-15 71 38 16 53 36 SE 5 5 2 2 W33 9043 W14 106598 V 05/15-16 71 38 16 53 37 SE 6 6 2 2 W35 8565 SW14 98961 G 05/15-17 71 38 16 53 40 E 8 8 2 2 W36 8086 SW13 91323 G 05/15-18 57 20 4 51 44 E 8 13 2 1 W36 7607 SW13 83685 G 05/15-19 57 20 4 49 48 E 7 7 2 1 W33 6387 SW13 70623 G 05/15-20 57 20 4 46 56 E 3 3 2 1 W32 5167 SW13 57561 F 05/15-21 57 20 4 42 63 E 2 2 2 1 W30 3947 S13 44500 F 05/15-22 57 20 4 40 68 SE 2 2 2 1 W31 3277 S14 38191 P 05/15-23 57 20 4 38 71 S 5 5 2 1 W33 2606 S15 31882 P 05/16-00 40 0 0 36 73 S 6 6 2 1 W33 1936 S15 25574 P 05/16-01 40 0 0 35 74 S 7 7 2 1 W32 1708 S15 22512 P 05/16-02 40 0 0 33 76 S 8 8 2 1 SW30 1480 SW15 19450 P 05/16-03 40 0 0 32 76 SW 8 13 2 1 SW28 1252 SW15 16388 P 05/16-04 40 0 0 31 74 SW 8 13 2 1 SW28 1175 SW14 14440 P 05/16-05 40 0 0 31 72 SW 8 13 3 1 SW30 1098 SW13 12493 P 05/16-06 18 0 0 31 71 SW 8 13 3 1 SW30 1020 SW12 10545 P 05/16-07 18 0 0 33 64 SW 8 13 3 1 SW29 1424 SW14 17567 P 05/16-08 18 0 0 36 55 SW 8 13 3 1 SW26 1828 SW15 24590 P 05/16-09 18 0 0 41 47 SW 8 13 3 1 SW23 2232 SW16 31612 P 05/16-10 18 0 0 45 39 SW 8 14 3 1 SW22 3788 SW17 59958 F 05/16-11 18 0 0 49 33 SW 9 14 2 1 SW22 5345 SW18 88304 G 05/16-12 45 10 2 53 29 SW 9 15 2 2 SW22 6902 SW20 116650 V 05/16-13 45 10 2 56 26 SW 9 15 2 2 SW22 8025 SW18 131226 V 05/16-14 45 10 2 57 25 SW10 16 2 2 SW22 9148 SW18 145802 V 05/16-15 45 10 2 58 24 SW10 16 2 2 SW23 10270 SW18 160377 E 05/16-16 45 10 2 58 24 SW10 17 2 2 SW22 10294 SW18 162057 E 05/16-17 45 10 2 58 24 SW10 16 3 2 SW20 10317 SW18 163736 E 05/16-18 35 10 2 57 25 SW10 16 3 2 SW20 10341 SW18 165416 E 05/16-19 35 10 2 54 28 SW10 16 3 2 SW22 8179 SW21 138546 V 05/16-20 35 10 2 49 33 SW10 16 2 2 SW24 6018 S23 111676 V 05/16-21 35 10 2 45 38 SW10 16 2 1 SW29 3857 S25 84806 G 05/16-22 35 10 2 42 43 SW10 17 2 1 SW32 2750 S22 59117 F 05/16-23 35 10 2 40 46 SW10 17 2 1 SW36 1643 SW20 33428 P 05/17-00 20 5 1 39 49 SW10 16 2 1 SW38 535 SW16 7739 P 05/17-01 20 5 1 37 50 SW 9 16 2 1 SW39 468 SW15 6363 P 05/17-02 20 5 1 37 50 SW 9 14 2 1 SW39 402 SW14 4987 P 05/17-03 20 5 1 36 50 SW 8 13 2 1 SW40 335 SW13 3610 P 05/17-04 20 5 1 35 50 SW 7 7 2 1 SW43 320 SW12 3130 P 05/17-05 20 5 1 34 50 W 6 6 3 1 SW46 306 SW10 2649 P 05/17-06 38 5 1 33 51 W 6 6 3 1 SW49 292 W 8 2168 P 05/17-07 38 5 1 35 48 W 6 6 3 1 SW51 1293 SW10 15386 P 05/17-08 38 5 1 37 44 SW 7 7 3 1 SW52 2293 SW13 28604 P 05/17-09 38 1 0 40 40 SW 8 13 3 1 SW53 3294 SW15 41822 F 05/17-10 38 1 0 43 35 SW 9 15 3 1 SW53 4562 SW17 72301 G 05/17-11 38 1 0 47 31 SW12 17 2 1 SW53 5830 SW20 102780 V 05/17-12 63 15 3 50 28 S13 21 2 3 SW52 7098 SW22 133260 V 05/17-13 63 15 3 52 27 SW14 23 2 3 SW51 8276 SW24 181307 E 05/17-14 63 15 3 53 27 SW15 24 2 3 SW48 9455 SW28 229355 E 05/17-15 63 15 3 54 27 SW16 25 2 3 SW46 10634 SW30 277402 E 05/17-16 63 15 3 54 27 SW17 26 2 3 SW45 10451 SW31 284649 E 05/17-17 63 15 3 54 28 SW17 26 2 3 SW43 10269 SW32 291896 E 05/17-18 66 17 3 53 30 SW16 25 2 3 SW40 10087 SW35 299144 E 05/17-19 66 17 3 51 34 SW14 23 2 3 SW38 8609 SW29 229939 E 05/17-20 66 17 3 47 40 SW12 18 2 3 S35 7131 SW24 160735 E 05/17-21 66 17 3 42 47 W 9 15 2 3 S32 5653 SW18 91531 G 05/17-22 66 17 3 39 54 W 8 13 2 3 S30 5028 SW20 85045 G 05/17-23 66 17 3 37 61 W 8 8 2 3 SW28 4402 W21 78560 G 05/18-00 60 16 3 35 67 W 7 7 2 1 SW25 3777 W22 72074 G 05/18-01 60 16 3 33 70 W 6 6 2 1 SW25 3125 W18 53127 F 05/18-02 60 16 3 33 72 W 5 5 2 1 SW25 2474 W14 34180 P 05/18-03 60 16 3 32 73 W 3 3 2 1 SW26 1822 W 9 15233 P 05/18-04 60 16 3 31 76 W 2 2 2 1 SW29 1564 W 7 10918 P 05/18-05 60 16 3 30 77 SW 2 2 2 1 SW30 1306 SW 5 6603 P 05/18-06 67 52 28 30 78 SW 2 2 2 1 SW32 1047 S 2 2288 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110515.SNYDE.01/BOU