FNUS72 KMFL 150909
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD WILDFIRE...BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
509 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0006 EDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW CLOSER TO THE REGION TODAY.
WHILE SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY TODAY, IT WILL DISSIPATE
RAPIDLY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DAY AND SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS
AND HAIL. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE BY LATE
MORNING. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD BY LATE MORNING AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     75     82     86     88     88
RH..............79     79     61     51     47     47
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 3    S 3    SW 6   SW 10  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      15     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2    S 3    S 3    SW 6   SW 10  SW 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      5      5      15     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 13 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 13 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110515.JARHE.01/MFL