FNUS75 KMSO 142040
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYPOLE 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
240 PM MDT SAT MAY 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER
AROUND THE BURN SITE TONIGHT WILL KEEP WARMER MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
WHILE ALSO KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 50S OVERNIGHT. AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT WILL BEGIN
TO IMPACT THE REGION WITH SHOWERS AND THICKER CLOUDS AFTER 3PM MDT
SUNDAY. SURFACE FRONT WILL MAKE A SLOW PROGRESSION THROUGH THE REGION
...STALLING ACROSS THE MONTANA/IDAHO BORDER BEFORE PASSING FULLY
OVERNIGHT SUNDAY TURNING SURFACE AND MIXING WINDS WESTERLY.
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AND ELEVATED RHS ARE EXPECTED WITH
TEMPERATURES COOLING ENOUGH THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN TO
SEE SOME SNOW FLAKES MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 11-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 30 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    WITH RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-13 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...TURNING
                    WEST 15 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.


$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...LORIE COTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110515.KEYPO.01/MSO