FNUS73 KABR 161437
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER PAIRIE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
937 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY.
THE PRESSURE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THIS STRENGTHENING LOW AND HIGH
PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER NORTHEAST MINNESOTA WILL CREATE INCREASING
SOUTHEAST WIND FOR THE BURN AREA TODAY. THE LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AS SURFACE PRESSURE
DIFFERENCES REMAIN NEARLY UNCHANGED THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 16000 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 73700.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........1      1      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     66     65
RH..............30     25     27
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 9   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....3000-3100.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........1      1      1      1      2      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     57     52     49     46     44
RH..............27     39     52     59     66     71
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 30500 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 101000.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........3      4      4      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     52     59     64     66     67
RH..............72     55     43     36     32     31
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 8   SE 12  SE 14  SE 15  SE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     25     25

$$
FORECASTER...CHURCH
REQUESTED BY...MATT MECKLENBURG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110516.MILLE.01/ABR