FNAK79 PAFG 180145
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMALL ARMS RANGE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
545 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1740 AKDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ALOFT WITH A SURFACE THERMAL
TROUGH OVER THE AREA WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PRODUCING
WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE THURSDAY
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HILLS TO THE EAST OF FAIRBANKS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-5 MPH. GUSTS TO 8-10 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE AT NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EARLY MORNING RISING TO 7000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE AT NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EARLY MORNING RISING TO 7000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...TAMI DEFRIES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110516.SMALL.01/AFG