FNUS73 KDMX 161336 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLTE WMA...IOWA DNR-USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 836 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM MINNESOTA THROUGH NORTHWEST IOWA IN KANSAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TODAY. A NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH MIXING DEPTH INCREASING RAPIDLY BY MID TO LATE MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (88000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........14 27 29 31 33 34 29 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 56 58 60 62 63 62 61 RH..............41 37 36 32 30 29 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 4.1 5.2 5.7 6.3 6.9 6.6 6.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE MIXNG WIND SPD..21 21 20 17 15 14 15 16 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........20 1 2 2 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 54 50 47 43 42 RH..............32 45 54 60 67 70 20 FT WIND......NE 13 E 6 E 3 E 5 E 6 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 9 E 4 E 2 E 4 E 4 E 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6000 2200 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NE 16 NE 9 NE 5 NE 6 E 5 E 3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (63600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........4 4 8 2 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 54 61 65 RH..............70 48 39 34 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 9G10 E 10G15 E 14G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2G5 SE 6G10 E 7G15 E 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 4000 5200 5900 MIXNG WIND......E 3 E 9 E 10 E 10 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER REQUESTED BY...ROB PATTERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110516.HOLTE.01/DMX