FNUS75 KGJT 160153
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEDHOUSE RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
753 PM MDT SUN MAY 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS A LARGE
PACIFIC STORM SYSTEMS MOVES INTO THE WEST. SUNSHINE WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO DAYTIME MIXING AND HELP PRODUCE GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS. EXPECT
DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT AS VALLEY INVERSIONS
DEVELOP BUT REMAIN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST OVER RIDGETOPS. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN COLORADO TUESDAY BRINGING
CLOUDS...COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH. AFTER 1200...SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1030...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 24 MPH
                    BY 1500.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD AT 1800 DECREASING TO POOR BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 MPH AT 1800 BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-5 MPH AFTER 2100.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN
                    SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 10-14 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...SAM DUERKSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110516.SEEDH.01/GJT