FNUS73 KMPX 161136
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 10 MILE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
636 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO NEARLY CLOUD
FREE SKIES AND FAIRLY LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES. WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVERHEAD TODAY...WINDS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS OBSERVED ON SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH WINDS THIS MORNING ARE
LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE...THERE SHOULD BE MORE OF A NORTHEAST
COMPONENT TO THE WIND DIRECTION TODAY AS WELL. A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AND SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
...BUT ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-38100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (100300-111600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............44  49  53  56  59  61  62  63  63  62  60  57
RH..............53  46  41  37  33  31  30  29  29  30  32  35
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   7   8   9   9   10  9   9   9   8   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-51500) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (47300-51800) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...RX FIRE SPLST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110516.10MIL.02/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY