FNUS73 KMPX 161123
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HELEN ALLISON...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
623 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO NEARLY CLOUD
FREE SKIES AND FAIRLY LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES. WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVERHEAD TODAY...WINDS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS OBSERVED ON SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH WINDS THIS MORNING ARE
LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE...THERE SHOULD BE MORE OF A NORTHEAST
COMPONENT TO THE WIND DIRECTION TODAY AS WELL. A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AND SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
...BUT ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-32500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (99200-105400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 24
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  54  57  60  62  63  64  64  63  61  58  54
RH..............42  40  35  32  30  29  28  28  30  32  36  41
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  15  15  15  15  10  10  10      5
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (53200-93800) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (1200-37000) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-45400) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58500-63700) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110516.HELEN.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY