FNUS73 KMPX 161141
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE HARDEN...FWS LITCHFIELD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
641 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO NEARLY CLOUD
FREE SKIES AND FAIRLY LOW AFTERNOON RH VALUES. WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVERHEAD TODAY...WINDS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE BREEZY
NORTHEAST WINDS OBSERVED ON SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH WINDS THIS MORNING ARE
LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE...THERE SHOULD BE MORE OF A NORTHEAST
COMPONENT TO THE WIND DIRECTION TODAY AS WELL. A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AND SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
...BUT ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-39600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57000-88000) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 18
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............47  51  55  58  60  62  63  64  64  63  62  58
RH..............49  44  40  36  33  30  29  28  28  30  32  37
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   8   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56100-89100) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (6500-38900) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6400-44500) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (56500-68500) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110516.LAKEH.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY