FNUS75 KABQ 171503
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO CHIFLO...TAOS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
903 AM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING STEADILY EAST OF THE FIRE COMBINED WITH
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING EAST TOWARD THE FIRE
WILL NOT PROVIDE MUCH OF A WETTING RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP WEST OF THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NOT MUCH
MOVEMENT EXPECTED ONCE STARTED. WETTING SHOWERS MORE LIKELY
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING IN AND BOOSTS TO
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES. WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0905 MDT 5/17/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS...SOME
                       WITH THUNDER IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64-66.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 12-15 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO
                       WEST 16 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS TO 35 MPH...STRONGEST IN THE
                       AFTERNOON AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 31 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/310000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/246731 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/231358 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34-36.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 55-58 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       EVENING GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN
                       SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                       WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58-60.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 32-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 14
                       TO 19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                       MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 24 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/276000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/101007 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/276000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...25

$$

REQUESTED BY...KYLE SAHD
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110517.CERRO.01/ABQ