FNUS73 KAPX 171100 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR TUTTLE RX...US FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 700 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST... WILL HELP KEEP NORTHERN MICHIGAN RAIN FREE FOR ONE MORE DAY. HOWEVER THIS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETROGRADE BACK INTO CENTRAL CANADA THIS AFTERNOON ...AS A WEAKENING SYSTEM OVER THE MID ATLANTIC LIFTS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. SFC DEW PTS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASING AFTER 8PM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300-3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........88 88 88 85 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 56 56 56 RH..............61 53 55 55 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......800 800 800 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........85 85 84 84 84 84 84 84 90 90 90 99 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............56 55 54 54 52 51 50 50 50 48 46 46 RH..............55 59 61 61 66 68 71 74 74 83 89 93 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 SMOKE DISP......700 500 400 200 100 0 0 100 100 100 100 100 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57. RH..................MIN 80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1300 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX FAIR(200). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 100 100 100 90 90 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 48 51 52 55 57 RH..............96 96 89 93 86 80 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 7 NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 100 200 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110517.TUTTL.01/APX