FNUS73 KAPX 171513 AAA FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR TUTTLE RX...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1113 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS DROPPED AS THE DRIER AIR ALOFT HAS WON OUT AND MIXED TO THE SURFACE. ALSO THE CLOUD COVER IS A BIT THINNER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. SO HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST. IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO FALL INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 22 TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300-3400 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........81 81 81 80 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 59 58 57 RH..............44 42 44 43 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......800 800 800 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........80 80 84 84 84 84 84 84 90 90 90 99 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............55 53 52 51 51 51 50 50 50 48 46 46 RH..............49 57 59 61 61 68 71 74 74 83 89 93 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST. SMOKE DISP......700 500 400 200 100 0 0 100 100 100 100 100 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57. RH..................MIN 80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1300 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX FAIR(200). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 100 100 100 90 90 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 48 51 52 55 57 RH..............96 96 89 93 86 80 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 7 NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 100 200 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110517.TUTTL.01/APX