FNUS72 KMLB 171149
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
749 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0727 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS ALREADY MOVED SOUTH OF THE FIRE THIS
MORNING ENDING ANY CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE FIRE THROUGH
MID WEEK. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE BY THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THOUGH THE WIND SPEEDS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS YESTERDAY...AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS
COULD STILL REACH 20 TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG PROVIDING VERY GOOD DISPERSION INDICIES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...MAKING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR CONTROL ISSUES WITH
THE WILDFIRE. THE PROXIMITY OF THE FIRE TO THE ATLANTIC AND
INTRACOASTAL WILL KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE 40 PERCENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 11 TO
                    16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....66.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............66  68  71  74  74  75  76  77  77  77  76  74
RH..............75  73  70  63  59  55  52  46  47  48  55  61
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   10  13  14  14  14  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.    10      15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110517.JAYAN.01/MLB