FNUS73 KMPX 171245
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KAERCHER HILLSIDE...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
745 AM CDT TUE MAY 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE HAS DRIFTED TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS
AND IS NOW BUILDING INTO CANADA...WHICH MEANS WINDS WILL HAVE MORE
OF A TRUE EASTERLY COMPONENT TODAY. ATMOSPHERIC MIXING WILL NOT BE
AS GREAT TODAY...SO MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY NOT GET QUITE AS DRY AS
MONDAY MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT STILL COULD DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT IN
MANY LOCATIONS. WIND GUSTS TODAY MAY BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-46100) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (61000-96100) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     69     66     59     54     49
RH..............25     26     30     40     52     68
20 FT WIND......SE 11  SE 12  SE 12  SE 10  SE 8   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (49400-97900) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (8700-36800) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (8700-49500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (66000-109500) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHARDSON
REQUESTED BY...DAN ANGELO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110517.KAERC.01/MPX