FNUS75 KGJT 181636
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1036 AM MDT WED MAY 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION
FROM THE WEST TONIGHT...AND BE CENTERED OVER WESTERN COLORADO
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING A HIGH PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE BURN SITE. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER TONIGHT TO AROUND 8000
FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD BY LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...HON SCHLAPFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110518.ELECT.01/GJT