FNUS75 KMSO 181621 FWSMSO SPOT FORECAST FOR GARRISON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT 1021 AM MDT WED MAY 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 MDT ON MAY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODIC SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE BURN AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A MODERATE TO LOW CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED. GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS WILL BE PRESENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL...WITH THE LOW PRESSURE MOVING VERY LITTLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 25 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 25 MPH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51. RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 25 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZUMPFE REQUESTED BY...IC JOHNSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110518.GARRI.01/MSO