FNAK79 PAFG 171917
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR CREAMERS FIELD...AK STATE DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1117 AM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE INTERIOR COMBINING
WITH A THERMAL TROUGH TO PRODUCE DRY CONDITIONS. SLIGHT INCREASE
IN MOISTURE ALOFT THURSDAY MAY BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER SOME
THUNDERSTORM AND RAINSHOWERS...MAINLY OVER THE HILLS EAST OF
FAIRBANKS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) IN THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON. ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS...MAINLY
                    EAST OF FAIRBANKS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-6900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    RAINSHOWERS...MAINLY EAST OF FAIRBANKS...IN
                    THE EVENING.  THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    RAINSHOWERS OVER THE HILLS EAST OF FAIRBANKS
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-7600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-8400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BERG
REQUESTED BY...SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.CREAM.02/AFG