FNUS73 KARX 191424
FWSARX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ZUMBRO FALLS WOODS SNA...MINNESOTA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
924 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA TODAY. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE WINDS TO SLOWLY SHIFT FROM THE EAST TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY CLOUDY
THROUGH THE DAY BUT THERE MAY BE SOME SHORT PERIODS OF SUNSHINE.
OUTSIDE OF A LITTLE BIT OF DRIZZLE THIS MORNING...NO SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD
TOP OUT AROUND 70 WITH DEW POINTS REMAINING IN THE MIDDLE 50S.
THIS SHOULD CREATE AN AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND
50 PERCENT.

THE PROPOSED BURN SITE IN NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF ANY OF THE NEARBY
AWOS OR ASOS OBSERVATION SITES. THE CLOSEST OBSERVATION IS A
MINNESOTA DOT SITE NORTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE AND HAVE USED THESE
OBSERVATIONS AS A BASIS FOR THE FORECAST...BUT NOT SURE ON THE
QUALITY OF THESE OBSERVATIONS. IN THE FUTURE...PLEASE SUBMIT AN
OBSERVATION FROM THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /47600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /62800 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..97     97     78     68     68     60
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     59     65     69     71     71
RH..............86     75     65     57     53     55
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................NONE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..58     58     63     68     68     79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............57     70     78     83     86     93
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 7    E 7    E 6    E 6    SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (% OPAQUE)..86     86     93     96     96     93
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
RH..............86     78     73     68     66     66
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 9   SE 11  SE 12  SE 12  SE 11
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...04
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.ZUMBR.01/ARX