FNUS73 KBIS 191151
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRIMMINS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
651 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER COLORADO THIS MORNING IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD. LIGHT EAST WINDS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TODAY TO 20 TO 25 MPH OVER SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA AND TO 15 TO 20
MPH IN THE NORTH. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY. LOOK FOR
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHWEST...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD RANGE
FROM AROUND 30 PERCENT ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER TO NEAR 45
PERCENT ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOUDY WITH PERIODS
OF RAIN...HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE LARGE UPPER
LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE ROCKIES THE PAST FEW DAYS IS
FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE DAKOTAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT...AND
REMAIN OVER THE DAKOTAS THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING EASTWARD
SUNDAY NIGHT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME AREAS MAY RECEIVE 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BREEZY. EAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL.
LAL.................2.
CWR.................62 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

$$

FORECASTER...MERRIMAN
REQUESTED BY...CALVIN MOLDENHAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.CRIMM.01/BIS