FNUS74 KEPZ 200426
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MAYHILL...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1026 PM MDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1948 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH FRIDAY...AS
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH
THE ROCKIES. THE LOW WILL BRING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE BURN AREA
OVERNIGHT.  LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO COOL 3 TO 5 DEGREES ALSO FRIDAY.
MIN RH WILL FALL A FEW PERCENTAGE POINTS FRIDAY AS WELL...AS WINDS TURN
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE TROUGH WHILE THIS FEATURE HEADS EAST OF NEW MEXICO.
HIGHS WILL WARM BACK UP A FEW DEGREES SATURDAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT TURNS
BACK TO THE WEST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY AND MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING WEST 9 TO 13 MPH AFTER 1000L...WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH BY MID DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL EARLY MORNING...INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR(3400 KNOT-FEET) EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    EXCELLENT (180200 KNOT-FEET) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH EARLY WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH...DECREASING AND SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER 2000L.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET...DECREASING TO 200-500
                    FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD(97600 KNOT-FEET) UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET...BECOMING
                    GOOD(5600 KNOT-FEET) IN THE AFTERNOON.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY AND MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING WEST 7 TO 11 MPH AFTER 1100L...WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......170 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR(2720 KNOT-FEET) EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    EXCELLENT (176800 KNOT-FEET) IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN ANDERSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110519.MAYHI.01/EPZ