FNUS74 KMEG 200051
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TORNADO WF...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
751 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1949 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SOUTH WINDS HAVE RETURNED TO THE REGION.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE REGION ON FRIDAY...
BRINGING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE AREA FOR
FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE STRONGER ON
SATURDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE MIDSOUTH. HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH AS SOUTH WINDS CONTINUE TO PUMP
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)..0      0      0      0      0      0
PRECIP TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....80     71     65     64     62     61
DEWPOINT........55     56     56     55     54     54
RH (%)..........42     59     71     72     75     79
20FT WIND MPH...SE 5   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   S 3    SE 2
20FT WIND GUST..7      4      4      4      4      2
MIXHGT M AGL....1192   332    0      0      0      0
MIXHGT FT AGL...3912   1090   0      0      0      0
MIXHGT M MSL....1325   459    14     86     96     61
MIXHGT FT MSL...4348   1508   47     283    315    203
TRANS WND M/S...S 7    SE 4   E 3    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
TRANS WND MPH...S 15   SE 9   E 7    SE 7   SE 6   SE 6
CATEGORY DAY....4      1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)..10     10     10     10     10     10
PRECIP TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....61     65     77     83     86     87
DEWPOINT........55     58     61     62     62     62
RH (%)..........82     78     58     48     44     43
20FT WIND MPH...SE 2   SE 3   S 7    S 6    S 6    S 5
20FT WIND GUST..2      4      9      8      8      7
MIXHGT M AGL....0      146    623    1174   1879   2345
MIXHGT FT AGL...0      481    2047   3854   6166   7695
MIXHGT M MSL....39     246    756    1310   2012   2478
MIXHGT FT MSL...130    810    2483   4298   6602   8131
TRANS WND M/S...SE 2   SE 4   S 6    S 6    S 6    SW 5
TRANS WND MPH...SE 5   SE 8   S 13   S 13   S 13   SW 12
CATEGORY DAY....1      1      2      3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SNIEZAK
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110519.TORNA.02/MEG