FNUS72 KMFL 191044
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD WILDFIRE...BIG CYPRESS NATL PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
644 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0625 EDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AS A DRY AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH BY EARLY
AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED SPEEDS TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH.
ANY SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP LATER TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO STAY OFF TO
THE EAST. DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING AND BECOME
GENERALLY GOOD BY MIDDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF
                    SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7
                    TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     40     40     40     40
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     73     84     90     93     93
RH..............100    100    63     48     41     43
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 2   E 3    E 3    S 5    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2    NE 2   E 3    E 3    S 5    SE 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..       5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2400   4500   4500   5000   5000
MIXNG WIND......N 2    NE 2   E 6    E 6    S 8    SE 8
DISPERSION IDX..1      8      29     29     48     48
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...MINDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110519.JARHE.01/MFL