FNUS72 KMFL 191036
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR OVERKILL...BIG CYPRESS NATL PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
636 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0622 EDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH. A FEW SHOWERS AND MAYBE EVEN A
THUNDERSTORM COULD FORM THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY IN THE EVENING,
BUT WITH A BETTER CHANCE TO THE EAST. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
FALL TO JUST UNDER 40 PERCENT. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BECOME
GENERALLY GOOD BY MIDDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF
                    SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     40     40     40     40
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS         S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............53     64     80     91     94     93
RH..............100    99     58     46     38     40
20 FT WIND......S 1    N 2    E 3    E 3    S 5    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 2   N 2    E 3    E 3    S 5    SE 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..       5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2400   4500   4500   5000   5000
MIXNG WIND......NW 2   N 2    E 6    E 6    S 8    SE 8
DISPERSION IDX..1      8      29     29     48     48
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...MINDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110519.OVERK.01/MFL