FNUS73 KMPX 191243
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KAERCHER HILLSIDE...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
743 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST WILL INCREASE IN SPEED OVER THE BURN
SITE LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 20 MPH LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH TO JUST ABOVE 70 DEGREES.
EXPECT ANOTHER DRY DAY TODAY BUT THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS EVENING...WITH RAIN
LOOKING DEFINITE BY OVERNIGHT. ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH
OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-33500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (113300-129800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW
TEMP............70  71  72  72  71  70  68  66  64
RH..............49  47  46  46  47  49  52  58  63
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  14  14  12  12  11
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    LATE IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73200-106600) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (12400-42500) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (24100-69400) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52900-75000) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 TO 32 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...DAN ANGELO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.KAERC.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY