FNUS73 KMPX 191234
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE LILLIAN...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
734 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL SETTLE IN FROM THE EAST TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST AT THE
BURN SITE BY IGNITION TIME. THE SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE...WITH
GUSTS BY NOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH TO RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES.
EXPECT ANOTHER DRY DAY TODAY BUT THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER TONIGHT INTO MOST OF THE
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6400-40500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (118700-120500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  62  66  68  70  71  72  73  73  72  71
RH..............67  60  53  51  47  46  44  44  44  45  47
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   9   9   10  11  12  12  12  12  11
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (81400-115100) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (4100-51100) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26400-68600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 28 TO 36 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.LAKEL.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY