FNUS73 KMPX 191102
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSCOE PRAIRIE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
602 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL SETTLE IN FROM THE EAST TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST AT THE
BURN SITE BY IGNITION TIME. THE SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE...WITH
GUSTS BY NOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH TO RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES.
EXPECT ANOTHER DRY DAY TODAY BUT THERE WILL BE INCREASING CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER TONIGHT INTO MOST OF THE
WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-36600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (52400-85200) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  58  61  63  64  66  67  68  69  69  68  68
RH..............69  65  60  55  58  56  54  54  53  53  54  54
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (25300-68000) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (2600-8200) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE
                    DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11600-47200) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    TO EXCELLENT (58700-97900) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 35
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...MARK CLEVELAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.ROSCO.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY