FNUS75 KMSO 182115
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYPOLE 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
315 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL BRING
PERIODIC SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE BURN AREA DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL CREATE A PERSISTENT
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE BURN AREA. MUCH OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...HOWEVER CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN IS FAIRLY LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 3-6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE VARIABLE 3-7 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6-8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...LORIE COTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110519.KEYPO.01/MSO