FNUS74 KBMX 201205 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR DURANGO...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 705 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0651 CDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATED LOCAL AREA WITH THE PROVIDED OBSERVATIONAL DATA...AND OTHER SURROUNDING OBS. PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY THIS MORNING. RH VALUES WILL DROP JUST BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ONLY A FEW HOURS WITH SOUTHERLY 20FT WINDS REMAINING BELOW 10 MPH. SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 7-10 MPH. WITH INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW...EXPECT MOISTURE TO SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7300-8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 9500-10300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 55 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 65 DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 64 75 82 85 86 RH..............89 74 54 42 35 32 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 1 SE 2 S 3 S 5 SW 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 800 3200 7300 10000 9500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 S 7 DISPERSION......2 2 3 44 55 63 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 2. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 76 66 62 61 59 RH..............36 51 78 87 87 91 20 FT WIND......SW 2 W 1 NE 0 NE 0 NE 0 E 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 BLW100 200 200 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 N 3 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 DISPERSION......20 0 1 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 65 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 115 DECREASING TO 101 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 63 78 85 88 87 RH..............88 86 58 43 37 36 20 FT WIND......S 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1100 3100 4500 5800 6600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 2 SW 3 SW 8 SW 10 SW 14 SW 16 DISPERSION......1 2 4 55 61 115 $$ FORECASTER...ALLEN REQUESTED BY...JEREMY BRAND TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110520.DURAN.01/BMX