FNUS73 KDLH 201618 AAA
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOROTHY...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1118 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MID LEVEL CONVECTIVE CLOUDS HAVE ALREADY PARTIALLY
FILLED IN OVER THE PRESCRIBED SITE...AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
INCREASED HIGHER AND QUICKER THAN ANTICIPATED...AND WILL TOP OUT
IN THE UPPER 70S. HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE DROPPED LOWER THAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST...WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE. PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 1200 CDT...WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON. STILL HOLDING ON TO THE OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A
ISOLATED SHOWER AFTER 1500 CDT...BUT PROBABILITY IS STILL VERY
LOW.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL LATE THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (80500).

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............74  75  76  78  76  75  73  70
RH..............45  41  39  37  40  43  45  47
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   8   9   10  11  12  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.9   11  13  15  18  20  16  12

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN
REQUESTED BY...LONA YAKICH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110520.DOROT.01/DLH