FNUS73 KDLH 202300 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR DOROTHY LAKE RX...USFS SUPERIOR NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 600 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN AREA TONIGHT DUE TO A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BURN AREA TONIGHT...BUT SHOULD NOT BE THAT STRONG. BY TOMORROW...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ARROWHEAD REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GETS CLOSE TO THE AREA...WITH STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (74800) DECREASING TO POOR (10600) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM TEMP............73 72 72 68 65 61 59 58 57 55 54 53 53 53 RH..............46 44 42 51 58 67 72 72 75 77 80 83 86 86 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 13 12 10 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12500) INCREASING TO GOOD (54700). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM TEMP............55 56 57 59 60 61 62 62 63 63 63 62 RH..............77 77 75 72 67 65 62 65 65 67 67 67 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 12 12 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.7 12 13 15 17 20 20 21 21 21 23 23 $$ FORECASTER...ROMAN REQUESTED BY...KEN GUITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110520.DOROT.02/DLH