FNUS73 KDLH 201542
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOQUAH H...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1042 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES HAVE INCREASED FASTER AND HIGHER THAN
EXPECTED THIS MORNING. ALREADY SEEING TEMPS OVER 70 DEGREES...AND
WILL LIKELY SEE HIGHS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE UPPER 70S.
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO DROP AS WELL...INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE BY 1400 CDT. HAVE HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN THE
SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON...SO ADDED THAT TO
THE FORECAST...WITH THE BEST CHANCE AFTER 1500 CDT. MIXING HEIGHTS
STILL ON TRACK TO INCREASE TO 2000 TO 3000 FT AGL AFTER 1200 CDT.
THE MAIN BATCH OF RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED TO ARRIVE NOT UNTIL AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    12 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27300).

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............70     73     77     74     69
RH..............47     42     37     40     50
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5      8      11     14     12
20 FT WIND GUST.7      15     20     22     21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG THROUGH THE NIGHT.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 350
                    FT AGL THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............64     56     54     52     52     51
RH..............64     77     86     86     89     86
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..11     9      7      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     16     13     8      8      8

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE RADAJ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110520.MOQUA.01/DLH