FNUS72 KMFL 201501 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR JARHEAD WILDFIRE...NPS BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1101 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1047 EDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY EARLY EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES INTERACT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 45 PERCENT. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BECOME GENERALLY GOOD BY MIDDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 41. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........17 43 71 71 71 71 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD TEMP............86 91 93 93 89 84 RH..............62 49 45 48 55 67 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 3 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3 SE 3 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SW 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3800 5500 5500 4800 2500 MIXNG WIND......SE 7 SE 7 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 7 DISPERSION IDX..31 31 43 43 38 5 LVORI...........3 3 3 3 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 20 LAL.............1 1 3 3 3 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 69. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....38 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............10. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 33. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...JILL WAISLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110520.JARHE.01/MFL