FNUS73 KMPX 201344 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNCAS DUNES...MNDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 844 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM TEXAS UP INTO THE DAKOTAS WILL SPREAD INTERMITTENT SHOWERS ACROSS THE BURN SITE FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. LIGHT RAIN WILL LIKELY REACH THE BURN LOCATION BY 11 AM...THOUGH THE AREA OF RAIN IS DISSIPATING AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT. CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL LIKELY HOLD TEMPS IN THE 60S AND RESULT IN MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES THROUGH THE DAY. FINALLY... SE WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE MORNING...WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH LIKELY BY THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (9900-58900) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (32100-81700) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 64 66 67 67 65 RH..............73 71 68 68 69 70 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 12 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...GRIESINGER REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110520.UNCAS.01/MPX