FNAK79 PAFG 211700
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE MOUNTAIN...DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
900 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0844 AKDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. WEAK INSTABILITY
TODAY BUT A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON WET
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP AGAIN BELOW 30 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON BUT LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE EAST-NORTHEAST
TODAY AROUND  5 TO 15 MPH. NO RED FLAGS EXPECTED TODAY.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH...STRONGEST ON RIDGE TOP.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-6200 FT AGL
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS  AND ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRYSTON
REQUESTED BY...FV COLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110521.MOOSE.02/AFG