FNUS75 KBOU 212129 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TORREY S RESCUE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 329 PM MDT SAT MAY 21 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. 10K FT IS ABOUT THE RAIN/SNOW LINE FOR NOW...SO EXPECT SOME LIGHT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WITH LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW. SHOWERS WILL BE DISSIPATING AFTER 6 PM...HOWEVER IF ANY ARE REMAINING...SHOULD BE ALL SNOW BY 9 PM. NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS MAINLY THROUGH 8 PM...THESE SHOULD STAY TO THE NORTH OF THE RESCUE SITE THOUGH. TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY AROUND 40 DEGREES OR JUST UNDER...WILL COOL TO FREEZING BY MIDNIGHT. WITH THESE TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUING GUSTY WINDS...WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR THE FREEZING MARK ALREADY...LOWERING TO THE UPPER TEENS AFTER MIDNIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY INTO TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2100. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2100 UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........86%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000-1800 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48. MIN HUMIDITY........38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200... THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TORRE SRESCUE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/21-15 92 30 9 40 56 W18 30 2 2 NW48 5243 W36 164231 E 05/21-16 92 30 9 41 54 W17 28 2 2 NW49 5176 W37 166496 E 05/21-17 92 30 9 40 53 W16 26 2 2 NW48 5110 W38 168761 E 05/21-18 84 30 9 40 53 W16 25 2 2 NW47 5043 W39 171027 E 05/21-19 84 30 9 39 57 W17 26 2 2 NW45 4472 W38 149900 V 05/21-20 84 30 9 37 64 W17 29 2 2 NW41 3900 W38 128773 V 05/21-21 84 20 4 35 70 W18 30 2 3 NW39 3328 W37 107646 V 05/21-22 84 20 4 34 72 W18 29 2 3 NW39 2791 W36 87285 G 05/21-23 84 20 4 33 72 W17 28 2 3 W40 2255 W33 66924 G 05/22-00 61 8 2 32 72 W16 25 2 1 W41 1718 W31 46563 F 05/22-01 61 8 2 31 76 W16 25 2 1 W41 1499 W30 39510 P 05/22-02 61 8 2 30 82 W15 24 3 1 W43 1279 W29 32457 P 05/22-03 61 8 2 30 86 W15 24 3 1 W43 1060 W28 25404 P 05/22-04 61 8 2 30 82 W15 24 3 1 W43 1055 W28 25176 P 05/22-05 61 8 2 29 77 W15 24 3 1 W41 1049 W28 24949 P 05/22-06 42 10 2 29 73 W15 24 3 1 W41 1044 W28 24721 P 05/22-07 42 10 2 30 70 W15 24 3 1 W39 1823 W28 43990 F 05/22-08 42 10 2 34 61 W15 24 2 1 W36 2603 W28 63259 G 05/22-09 42 10 2 38 55 W15 24 2 1 W32 3383 W28 82528 G 05/22-10 42 10 2 43 46 W15 24 2 1 W28 4261 W26 95325 G 05/22-11 42 10 2 47 40 W15 24 3 1 W22 5138 W25 108123 V 05/22-12 67 30 9 48 38 W15 24 3 2 W17 6016 W23 120920 V 05/22-13 67 30 9 48 38 W14 23 3 2 W15 6264 W22 115430 V 05/22-14 67 30 9 48 39 W14 22 3 2 W14 6512 W20 109940 V 05/22-15 67 30 9 48 40 W13 21 3 2 W13 6760 W17 104449 V 05/22-16 67 30 9 47 41 W12 20 3 2 W13 6252 W17 96056 G 05/22-17 67 30 9 45 44 W12 17 3 2 W14 5743 W17 87663 G 05/22-18 60 20 4 44 47 W10 16 3 2 W15 5235 W17 79270 G 05/22-19 60 20 4 41 53 W 9 15 3 2 W16 3936 W16 57904 F 05/22-20 60 20 4 38 59 W 9 14 3 2 W17 2638 W15 36537 P 05/22-21 60 20 4 36 64 W 8 13 3 2 W18 1340 W13 15170 P 05/22-22 60 20 3 35 66 W 7 7 3 1 W20 1004 W10 10665 P 05/22-23 60 20 3 34 67 SW 5 5 3 1 W20 668 W 8 6159 P 05/23-00 60 20 3 34 67 SW 3 3 3 1 SW20 332 W 6 1654 P 05/23-01 60 20 3 33 67 SW 3 3 3 1 SW20 299 SW 5 1342 P 05/23-02 60 20 3 33 65 SW 5 5 3 1 SW20 266 SW 5 1030 P 05/23-03 60 20 3 32 67 SW 5 5 3 1 SW18 233 S 3 719 P 05/23-04 60 20 3 31 66 S 5 5 3 1 SW14 243 S 5 934 P 05/23-05 60 20 3 31 65 S 3 3 3 1 SW 9 252 SE 6 1148 P 05/23-06 70 40 18 31 65 SE 3 3 3 1 SW 7 261 SE 6 1363 P 05/23-07 70 40 18 33 60 SE 3 3 3 1 S 7 1855 SE 7 11628 P 05/23-08 70 40 18 38 50 SE 5 5 3 1 S 9 3448 SE 7 21893 P 05/23-09 70 40 18 41 45 SE 5 5 3 1 S13 5041 S 7 32157 P 05/23-10 70 40 18 46 38 SE 5 5 3 1 S16 6201 S 9 55605 F 05/23-11 70 40 18 48 37 S 5 5 3 1 S18 7361 S12 79052 G 05/23-12 70 65 45 49 36 S 5 5 3 4 SW21 8520 S14 102500 V 05/23-13 70 65 45 49 37 S 5 5 3 4 SW22 8670 S14 107834 V 05/23-14 70 65 45 49 38 S 3 3 3 4 SW21 8819 SW15 113168 V 05/23-15 70 65 45 48 39 S 3 3 3 4 SW20 8969 SW15 118502 V 05/23-16 70 65 45 47 41 SW 3 3 3 4 SW18 8059 SW14 100225 V 05/23-17 70 65 45 45 44 W 3 3 3 4 SW16 7150 SW13 81949 G 05/23-18 70 65 45 44 46 NW 3 3 3 4 SW15 6240 SW12 63673 G 05/23-19 70 65 45 40 54 N 2 2 3 4 SW14 4946 W 9 44401 F 05/23-20 70 65 45 37 61 CALM 1 3 4 S14 3652 W 6 25130 P 05/23-21 70 65 45 34 68 CALM 1 3 4 S14 2358 W 2 5859 P 05/23-22 70 65 45 33 70 CALM 1 3 4 S16 1853 W 3 5417 P 05/23-23 70 65 45 32 72 S 2 2 3 4 S18 1348 SW 5 4976 P 05/24-00 71 48 24 32 73 SW 3 3 3 1 S21 843 SW 6 4534 P 05/24-01 71 48 24 31 74 SW 5 5 3 1 SW21 678 SW 7 3768 P 05/24-02 71 48 24 31 72 W 5 5 3 1 SW20 513 W 7 3001 P 05/24-03 71 48 24 29 75 W 6 6 3 1 SW17 348 W 7 2235 P 05/24-04 71 48 24 29 75 W 6 6 3 1 SW15 325 W 8 2165 P 05/24-05 71 48 24 29 73 W 7 7 3 1 SW13 301 W 8 2096 P 05/24-06 70 48 24 29 72 W 7 7 3 1 W10 278 W 8 2026 P 05/24-07 70 48 24 30 66 W 7 7 3 1 SW 9 1542 W 8 11666 P 05/24-08 70 48 24 34 56 W 8 13 3 1 SW 8 2807 W 8 21305 P 05/24-09 70 48 24 36 50 W 8 13 3 1 S 8 4071 W 9 30945 P 05/24-10 70 48 24 39 43 W 8 13 3 1 S 8 4640 W 9 35314 P 05/24-11 70 48 24 41 41 W 8 13 3 1 S 8 5209 W 9 39684 P 05/24-12 70 65 45 41 40 W 8 13 3 3 S 7 5778 W 9 44053 F 05/24-13 70 65 45 41 40 W 9 14 3 3 SW 6 5863 W12 58660 F 05/24-14 70 65 45 41 41 W 9 15 3 3 NW 5 5948 W14 73267 G 05/24-15 70 65 45 40 43 W10 16 3 3 N 3 6033 NW17 87874 G 05/24-16 70 65 45 39 45 W12 17 3 3 N 5 5400 NW18 84721 G 05/24-17 70 65 45 38 49 NW12 18 3 3 N 7 4767 NW21 81569 G 05/24-18 70 65 45 37 52 NW12 18 3 3 N10 4134 NW22 78416 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...STU NAY REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110521.TORRE.01/BOU