FNUS72 KMLB 211140
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR YETI  SEVEN POINT...US FISH ANDWILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
740 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0650 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING REMAINS NEAR THE
WILDFIRE EARLY THIS MORNING. AS SUCH...CALM TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS WILL BE OBSERVED. EVENTUALLY AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPS AND MOVES INLAND BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS NEAR THE
WILDFIRE WILL EVENTUALLY TRANSITION TO AN EASTERLY COMPONENT...BUT
PROBABLY NOT UNTIL AROUND MID AFTERNOON NEAR THE WILDFIRE LOCATION
...WHILE REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT. AFTER INITIAL PATCHY MORNING FOG
SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR BEFORE HEATING OF THE DAY ALLOWS
CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A LESS
THAN 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
...AND MAINLY ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WITH INTERACTIONS WITH
LOCAL LAKE BREEZES ANOTHER POSSIBLE SOURCE OF CONVERGENCE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE MORNING WINDS EVENTUALLY BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY                     SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG                     TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............72  72  77  84  86  90  92  94  94  92  90  88
RH..............89  94  94  74  57  53  44  39  38  39  41  45
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   1   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.                    5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000 THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110521.YETIS.01/MLB