FNUS72 KTAE 211553
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD TRAM FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1153 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1141 EDT ON MAY 21. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS MOVING BACK INTO THE AREA.
HIGHER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LOW.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH EITHER HIGH ERC VALUES OR HIGH DISPERSION
VALUES TO CREATE A CRITICAL WILDFIRE DANGER. HIGHER FORECAST
DISPERSION VALUES HAVE PROMPTED THE EXPANSION OF THE RED FLAG FOR
SATURDAY AND THE ISSUANCE OF A NEW FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE.


TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     88     90     91
RH..............51     37     34     34
20 FT WIND......NW 5   S 5    SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG
                    DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     23     25     25
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  DENSE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............91     84     74     69     67     66
RH..............35     46     71     87     88     90
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 5   SW 4   SW 4   W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AFTER DENSE FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.


TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........33     40     40     32     24     24
WEATHER COV.....DENSE  DENSE PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     67     80     87     90     92
RH..............93     90     60     44     37     34
20 FT WIND......W 3    NW 2   W 2    W 2    SW 4   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      10     10     15     15

$$

FORECASTER...KEN GOULD
REQUESTED BY...THELMA JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110521.OLDTR.01/TAE