FNAK79 PAFG 231259
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE MOUTAIN...DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
459 AM AKDT MON MAY 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2037 AKDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS MAINLY EAST-WEST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN INTERIOR THIS MORNING...WITH THE TROUGH AXIS JUST
SOUTH OF THE FAIRBANKS AREA. A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SHIFT OF THE
TROUGH MAY OCCUR TODAY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING AND DEVELOPMENT OF UPSLOPE WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN THE
WINDS OVER THE FIRE AREA BECOMING MAINLY SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.

A SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE INFLUX OF MOISTURE FROM
NORTHWEST CANADA AND SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY
CLOUDY. THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE
TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 TO 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING RISING TO 7000
                    FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44 TO 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL
                    TOWARDS MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 TO 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST
                    TO SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EARLY MORNING RISING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...PETER BUTTERI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110522.MOOSE.03/AFG