FNAK79 PAFG 212112 FWSAFG SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK IA...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 112 PM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1255 AKDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. WEAK INSTABILITY TODAY BUT A BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON WET THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP AGAIN BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON BUT LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NO RED FLAGS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................8 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................8 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...KRYSTON REQUESTED BY...T ST CLAIR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110522.STUAR.01/AFG