FNUS72 KMLB 221156
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY ANGELS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
756 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0709 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE BURN AREA. AS SUCH WIND SPEEDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND DIRECTION WILL OCCASIONALLY BE CHALLENGING
OUTSIDE OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PASSAGE. WINDS THIS MORNING
WILL BEGIN CALM/LIGHT & VARIABLE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL OFF
AGAIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING CALM TO LIGHT & VARIABLE
AGAIN AT TIMES.

THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE SLOWLY INLAND PASSING
THE BURN AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AFTER INITIAL PATCHY MORNING FOG
...SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY BEFORE HEATING OF THE DAY ALLOWS FOR
A FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS TO FORM. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY
CLEAR AGAIN THIS EVENING. DEEPER RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY WITH SINKING AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT RESULTING.
THIS PATTERN IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR PRECIPITATION. WITH SUCH LIGHT WINDS
OVERNIGHT AND MOISTURE TRAPPED NEAR THE SURFACE VISIBILITY MAY BECOME
A CONCERN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING NEAR THE WILDFIRE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............75  78  80  81  83  84  85  85  84  83  82  81
RH..............86  82  70  65  58  45  48  50  52  56  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   5   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   7   10  10  10  12  12  13  14  14  13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT DURING
                    THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
LVORI...............7.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST DURING THE MORNING
                    ...THEN BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110522.JAYAN.01/MLB