FNAK79 PAFG 241358
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR KOKACHO CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
558 AM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1828 AKDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST COMBINED WITH
A THERMAL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ALASKA INTERIOR
WILL CREATE A MAINLY NORTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE
FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND TRIGGER SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES
INTO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...LOWERING TO
                    1000-2000 FT AGL BY EARLY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15-20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST 8-15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...RISING TO
                    8000 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...GRAHAM WORLEYHOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110523.KOKAC.01/AFG