FNAK79 PAFG 241433
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR KOKACHO CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
633 AM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1828 AKDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE FIRE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL DECREASES LATER IN THE WEEK AS DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED WET
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500-2800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-7600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRYSTON
REQUESTED BY...GRAHAM WORLEYHOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110523.KOKAC.01/AFG