FNAK79 PAFG 241322
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE MOUNTAIN...AKDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
522 AM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2112 AKDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM MINCHUMINA TO JUST SOUTH
OF FAIRBANKS TO EAGLE THIS MORNING. LITTLE MOVEMENT OF THE
THERMAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS ON THE
FIRE WILL BE INFLUENCED MAINLY BY DIURNAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE
AND LOCAL TOPOGRAPHY. THE AIRMASS WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
WESTWARD ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (75-85 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST 7-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY MORNING RISING TO 8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48 TO 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7-12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER 2300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL BY EARLY
                    MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING
                    TO AROUND 5 MPH MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-6700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...PETER BUTTERI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110523.MOOSE.02/AFG