FNAK79 PAFG 232326
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK IA...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
326 PM AKDT MON MAY 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 AKDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT THE FIRE WILL INCREASE FROM 18 PERCENT AT
3 PM TO 30 PERCENT AT 7 PM THIS EVENING. THIS IS AT THE SAME TIME
THAT RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA.

INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHERN INTERIOR...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WET
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE TO 70 TO 80 DEGREES ON TUESDAY.
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING ISOLATED
WET THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WARM AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 7PM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DIMINISHING TO SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH BY 10 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5700-5800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTERS...BERG/FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...TOM ST  CLAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110523.STUAR.02/AFG