FNUS75 KBOU 241144 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEVEN MILE RESERVOIR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 544 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT BASIN...ACROSS COLORADO TODAY...AND INTENSIFY OVER WESTERN KANSAS TONIGHT. IT WILL BE AN UNSETTLED DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER MID EVENING... PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14-24 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELEVENMILERESERVOIR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/24-05 54 10 2 34 76 S 6 6 3 1 SW38 585 E 5 2416 P 05/24-06 65 45 22 35 71 SW 7 7 3 1 SW37 670 E 5 2851 P 05/24-07 65 45 22 37 66 SW 8 13 3 1 SW33 2190 SE 7 19838 P 05/24-08 65 45 22 40 61 S 8 14 3 1 SW29 3711 S 9 36826 P 05/24-09 65 45 22 44 54 S 9 15 3 1 SW25 5231 SW12 53813 F 05/24-10 65 45 22 48 48 SW 9 14 3 4 SW23 6619 SW13 73637 G 05/24-11 65 45 22 51 44 W 9 14 3 4 SW21 8006 W13 93460 G 05/24-12 71 40 18 53 41 W 9 15 3 4 SW18 9394 W14 113284 V 05/24-13 71 40 18 54 39 W12 18 3 4 W17 9902 W16 138966 V 05/24-14 71 40 18 55 37 W15 23 2 4 W16 10409 W18 164649 E 05/24-15 71 40 18 55 35 W17 28 2 4 NW16 10917 NW20 190331 E 05/24-16 71 40 18 56 32 NW18 30 2 4 NW17 10445 NW22 193864 E 05/24-17 71 40 18 55 31 NW18 30 2 4 NW20 9972 NW23 197398 E 05/24-18 82 39 17 54 32 NW18 30 2 4 NW20 9500 NW24 200931 E 05/24-19 82 39 17 51 34 NW17 28 2 4 NW20 8054 NW24 168157 E 05/24-20 82 39 17 47 41 NW16 25 2 4 NW18 6608 NW23 135383 V 05/24-21 82 39 17 43 49 W15 24 2 4 NW18 5162 NW23 102609 V 05/24-22 82 39 17 41 55 W15 24 2 4 NW17 4002 NW24 81636 G 05/24-23 82 39 17 39 60 W15 24 2 4 NW17 2841 NW25 60664 G 05/25-00 65 17 3 37 65 NW15 24 2 1 NW18 1681 NW28 39692 P 05/25-01 65 17 3 35 70 NW14 22 2 1 NW20 1397 NW26 32512 P 05/25-02 65 17 3 33 75 W13 20 2 1 NW20 1114 NW25 25332 P 05/25-03 65 17 3 32 78 W12 18 2 1 NW21 831 NW25 18153 P 05/25-04 65 17 3 32 80 NW13 21 2 1 NW22 851 NW26 19617 P 05/25-05 65 17 3 31 80 NW15 24 2 1 NW23 872 NW28 21081 P 05/25-06 66 10 2 31 80 NW17 28 2 1 NW23 892 NW29 22545 P 05/25-07 66 10 2 34 72 NW18 30 2 1 NW23 1872 NW28 40526 F 05/25-08 66 10 2 38 60 NW21 32 2 1 NW24 2852 NW25 58507 F 05/25-09 66 10 2 43 49 NW22 35 2 1 NW24 3832 NW23 76487 G 05/25-10 66 10 2 48 41 NW21 33 2 1 NW24 5064 N21 87817 G 05/25-11 66 10 2 51 36 NW20 31 2 1 NW24 6295 N18 99146 G 05/25-12 66 10 2 54 33 N17 28 2 1 NW25 7526 N17 110476 V 05/25-13 66 10 2 56 31 N15 24 2 1 NW25 8047 N16 112004 V 05/25-14 66 10 2 57 30 NW14 22 2 1 NW26 8569 NW15 113532 V 05/25-15 63 10 2 57 30 NW12 18 2 1 NW26 9091 NW15 115060 V 05/25-16 63 10 2 58 30 NW10 10 2 1 NW26 8801 NW13 99403 G 05/25-17 63 10 2 57 31 N 8 8 2 1 NW26 8511 NW12 83745 G 05/25-18 63 0 0 56 34 N 7 7 2 1 NW26 8221 W 9 68087 G 05/25-19 63 0 0 53 37 N 6 6 2 1 NW29 5878 W 8 47028 F 05/25-20 63 0 0 49 45 E 5 5 2 1 NW32 3536 S 7 25969 P 05/25-21 63 0 0 46 53 E 3 3 2 1 W33 1194 SE 5 4910 P 05/25-22 63 0 0 43 61 SE 3 3 2 1 W33 1128 SE 7 6417 P 05/25-23 63 0 0 41 67 S 5 5 3 1 W32 1062 S 9 7923 P 05/26-00 44 0 0 39 74 S 6 6 3 1 W32 996 S10 9430 P 05/26-01 44 0 0 37 79 S 6 6 3 1 W32 832 S10 7422 P 05/26-02 44 0 0 35 84 S 5 5 3 1 W35 667 SW 9 5415 P 05/26-03 44 0 0 34 88 SW 5 5 3 1 W38 502 SW 8 3407 P 05/26-04 44 0 0 34 89 SW 3 3 3 1 W41 437 SW 7 2828 P 05/26-05 44 0 0 33 88 SW 3 3 2 1 W45 373 SW 7 2248 P 05/26-06 40 0 0 33 86 SW 3 3 2 1 W48 308 SW 6 1668 P 05/26-07 40 0 0 36 77 SW 5 5 2 1 W51 1133 SW10 14920 P 05/26-08 40 0 0 43 56 SW 6 6 2 1 W53 1958 SW14 28172 P 05/26-09 40 0 0 49 42 SW 8 8 2 1 W54 2783 SW17 41423 F 05/26-10 40 0 0 55 33 SW12 18 2 1 W54 5387 SW23 134231 V 05/26-11 40 0 0 60 27 SW16 25 2 1 W54 7991 W29 227038 E 05/26-12 52 0 0 64 23 SW20 31 2 1 W52 10595 W35 319845 E 05/26-13 52 0 0 66 21 SW21 35 2 1 W48 11097 W33 325809 E 05/26-14 52 0 0 67 19 W22 35 2 1 W45 11599 W33 331773 E 05/26-15 52 0 0 68 18 W22 35 2 1 W43 12101 W32 337736 E 05/26-16 52 0 0 68 18 W22 36 2 1 W44 11301 W32 319420 E 05/26-17 52 0 0 68 18 W22 36 2 1 W47 10501 W33 301103 E 05/26-18 52 0 0 66 19 W21 33 2 1 W48 9701 W33 282786 E 05/26-19 52 0 0 63 21 W17 28 2 1 W47 8281 W32 235034 E 05/26-20 52 0 0 58 25 W14 22 2 1 W45 6861 W31 187282 E 05/26-21 52 0 0 53 30 W10 10 2 1 W44 5441 W30 139530 V 05/26-22 52 0 0 50 35 W 9 9 2 1 W46 3927 W28 98909 G 05/26-23 52 0 0 48 40 W 9 9 2 1 W49 2413 W25 58289 F 05/27-00 28 0 0 45 45 W 9 9 2 1 W53 900 W23 17669 P 05/27-01 28 0 0 43 49 W 9 9 2 1 W54 751 W20 13585 P 05/27-02 28 0 0 41 53 W 8 8 2 1 W55 602 W17 9501 P 05/27-03 28 0 0 40 56 W 8 8 2 1 W58 454 W14 5417 P 05/27-04 28 0 0 39 57 W 8 8 2 1 W61 627 W14 7669 P 05/27-05 28 0 0 39 56 W 8 8 2 1 W64 801 W14 9921 P 05/27-06 28 0 0 39 54 W 8 8 2 1 W69 974 NW14 12173 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SARAH REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110523.ELEVE.01/BOU