FNUS74 KLIX 232218 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD KELLY ROAD FIRE...SANDHILL CRANE NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 518 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 5-10 MPH WILL DROP OFF LATE THIS EVENING...WITH NEARLY CALM CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. EXPECT A LOW STRATUS TO BEGIN FORMING AFTER MIDNIGHT...LEADING TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW. GIVEN THE LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING AFTER 3AM AND CONTINUING THROUGH AROUND 8AM. FOG WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN LOW LYING AREAS WHERE GROUND MOISTURE IS HIGHER. FOG SHOULD QUICKLY BURN OFF AFTER 8AM AS DAYTIME HEATING BREAKS UP THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION. SKIES SHOULD TURN PARTLY CLOUDY BY MID-MORNING. THERE IS A DEFINITE DRY POCKET OVER NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY. DEWPOINT READINGS ARE A GOOD 7 DEGREES LOWER OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY COMPARED TO COASTAL AREAS. THIS HAS LED TO LOWER RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. STILL EXPECT RH VALUES TO INCREASE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS TEMPERATURES DROP. CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW TOMORROW SHOULD LEAD TO HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND HIGHER RH VALUES ACROSS THE BURN AREA BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CONCERNING EASTERLY FLOW...IT LOOKS LIKE THE EASTERLIES IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS WILL BECOME MORE DOMINANT HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SETTLES OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........42 51 51 51 51 51 51 60 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............88 86 83 80 78 77 76 75 74 72 71 71 RH..............54 59 65 72 76 79 82 84 87 90 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 15 15 12 12 12 9 9 9 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 47 47 47 47 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 77 84 89 89 89 RH..............100 79 65 54 52 54 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 2 SE 5 S 6 S 8 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 1 E 2 SE 5 S 6 S 8 S 7 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....600 900 4800 4800 5900 5100 MIX HGT (M).....180 270 1460 1460 1800 1550 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 8 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........47 34 34 34 59 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............87 83 79 77 75 73 RH..............61 70 77 79 84 87 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 5 S 3 S 2 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7 S 6 S 5 S 3 S 2 SE 1 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5100 3300 900 900 1100 1200 MIX HGT (M).....1550 1010 270 270 340 370 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 18 S 13 S 13 S 10 S 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 8 S 6 S 6 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110523.OLDKE.01/LIX