FNUS76 KLOX 230038
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 7...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
538 PM PDT SUN MAY 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE COMBINED WITH
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS RESULTED IN A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION. BY MONDAY
MORNING...THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO AROUND
3500 FEET AT THE BURN AREA...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF DRIZZLE.
THIS PATTERN WILL BRING SLOW CLEARING ON MONDAY...ALONG WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WARMING AND DRYING IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AS THE MARINE
LAYER DEPTH BEGINS TO SHRINK.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.
                    PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57 AT IGNITION...RISING TO 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT AT IGNITION...LOWERING TO 60 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WINDS......SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING...BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGETOP WINDS......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL EARLY...LOWERING TO LESS THAN
                    1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.


$$

FORECASTER...GOMBERG
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110523.RANCH.01/LOX