FNUS75 KPUB 231256
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SULLIVAN...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
656 AM MDT MON MAY 23 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOULD SEE A FAIRLY GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY...MAINLY AFTER 1200...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH POSSIBLE.
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A THREAT. SHOULD SEE GOOD RH RECOVERY TONIGHT
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES. WITH A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT. SHOULD SEE ANOTHER
GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN THREATS.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 12-17
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    EAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN NORTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(69 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST AROUND 11 MPH
                    UNTIL 1600...THEN NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND
                    13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110523.SULLI.01/PUB